Where’s the Edge?
This matchup is closer than the odds suggest—but Wolves have the stronger claim, both in terms of form and style matchup.

Ipswich may be riding high from a much-needed 2-1 win over Bournemouth, but that snapped a 10-game winless run. They’ve lost 5 in a row at home, conceding 2+ in each. Portman Road has been anything but a fortress.

Wolves, on the other hand, are coming off back-to-back wins and are unbeaten in 3. Even without Cunha, they’ve found a rhythm—particularly on the road, where they’ve won their last two. Their counter-attacking setup is tailor-made to punish Ipswich’s sloppy possession and soft central defense.

Key Stats
Ipswich at home: 1 win in 15, 0.47 PPG

Wolves away: 4 wins, 1.00 PPG

Wolves have scored in 12 of 15 away matches

Ipswich have conceded in 14 of 15 at home

Add in the fact that Wolves’ strengths (winning the ball, through balls, counter attacks) directly exploit Ipswich’s biggest weaknesses, and the value leans clearly toward the visitors.

Betting Angles
👉 Wolves Win @ 2.65
Ipswich’s defensive frailty + Wolves' momentum = value on the away side.

👉 Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.64
Ipswich games average 3.1 goals, Wolves’ away games hit 3.53. Both sides leak goals, and both tend to score.

👉 Wolves to Score Over 1.5 Goals @ 2.30
Ipswich concede 2.27 per game at home, and Wolves are averaging 1.47 goals away.

👉 Wolves Win + Over 1.5 Goals @ 3.60
Great way to boost your odds if you're leaning Wolves and expect some goal action.

Leans on Scoreline
Most likely score: 1-2 Wolves (8.78%)

BTTS has a 62% probability.

Ipswich 2-1 win sits at 7.9%—the most realistic win path for them.

Final Take
Wolves are trending up. Ipswich have a mountain to climb, especially at home. Styles clash here—and Wolves’ high press and fast transitions could break Ipswich open.

Unless Ipswich pull out a rare, error-free 90 minutes, Wolves at plus money is the smarter play.

Best Bet: Wolves to win @ 2.65