⚖️ Match Odds & Probabilities
Crystal Palace Win @ 2.41 → Implied: 41.5%

Draw @ 3.45 → 29.0%

Brighton Win @ 2.90 → 34.5%

Model prediction: Palace ~40%, Brighton ~36%, Draw ~24%

🔥 Form Guide
Crystal Palace: W-W-W-D → unbeaten in 4, strong late-game team
Brighton: D-L → winless in 2, heavy defeat last time out
H2H at Selhurst: Last 5 have ended 1-1

💸 Value Verdicts (with overlays)
Market Verdict Summary (≤100 chars)
Crystal Palace Win @ 2.41 ✅ Slight value In form, at home, Brighton injury-hit
Brighton Win @ 2.90 ❌ No value Not the spot after 0-3 Villa loss
Draw @ 3.45 ✅ Historic lean Five straight 1-1s here — one more?
Both Teams to Score @ ~1.70 ✅ Reliable pick Both scored in 9 of last 11 meetings
Over 2.5 Goals @ ~1.90 ⚠️ Risky edge Brighton games = chaos, Palace trending low
Under 2.5 Goals @ ~1.90 ⚠️ H2H supports Last 5 at Selhurst Park under 2.5
1-1 Correct Score @ ~6.50 🎯 Nostalgia pick Same result last 5 at Selhurst
João Pedro anytime scorer @ ~3.20 ✅ Decent angle Lively and shoots on sight
📊 Stats That Back It
Brighton: 93% away scoring rate, but 7 players out

Palace: 11 straight matches scored in, unbeaten in 4

Brighton: 70% of matches over 2.5 goals

Palace vs Brighton: 5 straight 1-1s at Selhurst

Brighton scored in 14 of 15 away PL games